On Brexit Circa 30th January

[danieldwilliam]

I think the next steps for Brexit are

May goes off to Brussels with her mandate in her hand. (Must change my Facebook profile picture back to Neville Chamberlain.)

Brussels don't negotiate. Version A) they meet for a few weeks, change a few comma, and increase the divorce bill by a few billion. Everyone agrees they should do it again in March. Option B. Brussels refuses to re-open negotiaions, May is just told, "no, take it or leave it." The EU decides that it will put Irish solidarity and future cohesion ahead of Tory Party unity.  May is publically humiliated in a way that sends a clear message to the Five Star movement.

May comes back to Parliament with a deal that is essentially unchanged.

It fails to pass again.

There is a Vote of No Confidence Again.

Then I don't know.

Perhaps the Government falls. Perhaps not. Perhaps Keir Starmer forms a government of national unity. Perhaps we end up with martial law. Perhaps there is a People's Vote. I've no idea.

And nor do you.

And nor do they.

Comments

[danieldwilliam]

You must, of course, ration your petrol for useful and good things for you.

I don't think spending energy following the ups and downs over the coming weeks is energy well spent. (Unless like me you find the spectacle interesting.)

Best thing you can do is make sure you and JW and your folks arrive at the end of March with cupboards full of long-lived food and other consumables that you won't mind using up over the next 12 months. If it goes wrong, you'll be as prepared as you can be. If it goes okay, hey, I might make A Year's Worth of Pasta and Remain my motto.

[mountainkiss]

I’ll write about it when I do my update tomorrow or over the weekend.

[alithea]

This is my plan too. We're going home tomorrow and the weekend will be spent sorting out the spare room and the shed so we have more storage and then we can stock up on tins and dry goods. And I'll be filling my two month prescription at the beginning of March.

Oh, and I'm going to make a raised bed in the back garden and grow some root veg. Sadly the traffic pollution is too high for growing much else.