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I have some theories about what Boris Johnson might be up to - they are presented below for your delictation and entertainment.
Theory One; Cha-Ching! he is off to make his fortune. He knows he’s going to be suspended form Parliament and that a recall petition, a by-election and a by-election lose are likely so he’s cashing in his chips. He’s worth more to himself if he is a credible (for very, very low levels of credible) prospect as Conservative Party Leader. That potential is severely diminished if he loses a by-election after being suspended. So theory one, he’s off to cash in on being the King Over the Water. There will be a book, there will a series of lectures. Then another book. Perhaps a news paper column. Every six months or so he’ll let his name be linked with a by-election or safe Tory seat, just to keep his name in circulation.
Theory Two; Return of the Spaff, he’s planning a come back as Tory Leader after the next election. The next election is going to be a holy reckoning for the Conservative Party and the further away from that he is the better his prospects of being re-elected Tory leader to replace Sunak (or whomever replaces Sunak in 2024). So out of Parliament now. Make a bit of cash. Safe seat for the 2024 election. Elected leader in 2025. Down in history as, well something.
Theory Three; the Mid Bedfordshire Gambit. By leaving Parliament now he avoids losing a by-election in the marginal Uxbridge and South Ruislip seat and transfers to Mid Bedfordshire, which is rock solid Tory. Wins that, returns to Parliament “vindicated” by the voters and is now unimpeachable, perhaps literally. With his popularity proven he is free to run against Sunak for leader in 2024, or just make some cash.
Theory Four; Reclaim and Reform, he’s going to found his own party or team up with former husband of Billie Piper, Lawrence Fox to re-enter Parliament in Mid Bedfordshire and terrify the Conservative Party from the right flank. Endless appearances on Question Time. Appearing in support at any other by-elections in 2023 and 2024.
Theory Five; A Quiet Retirement, he knows the gig is up and he’s leaving now, with what little remains of his dignity and self-respect. The Prime Ministerial pension is probably enough to keep body and soul together, watch a bit of cricket, make a few wise and well-observed comments from the political sidelines, make things up to his wife for his infamous infidelity and hope Norma forgives him – or whatever it is that Boris Johnson does instead of being John Major.
The list above is presented in descending order of probability.
Theory One; Cha-Ching! he is off to make his fortune. He knows he’s going to be suspended form Parliament and that a recall petition, a by-election and a by-election lose are likely so he’s cashing in his chips. He’s worth more to himself if he is a credible (for very, very low levels of credible) prospect as Conservative Party Leader. That potential is severely diminished if he loses a by-election after being suspended. So theory one, he’s off to cash in on being the King Over the Water. There will be a book, there will a series of lectures. Then another book. Perhaps a news paper column. Every six months or so he’ll let his name be linked with a by-election or safe Tory seat, just to keep his name in circulation.
Theory Two; Return of the Spaff, he’s planning a come back as Tory Leader after the next election. The next election is going to be a holy reckoning for the Conservative Party and the further away from that he is the better his prospects of being re-elected Tory leader to replace Sunak (or whomever replaces Sunak in 2024). So out of Parliament now. Make a bit of cash. Safe seat for the 2024 election. Elected leader in 2025. Down in history as, well something.
Theory Three; the Mid Bedfordshire Gambit. By leaving Parliament now he avoids losing a by-election in the marginal Uxbridge and South Ruislip seat and transfers to Mid Bedfordshire, which is rock solid Tory. Wins that, returns to Parliament “vindicated” by the voters and is now unimpeachable, perhaps literally. With his popularity proven he is free to run against Sunak for leader in 2024, or just make some cash.
Theory Four; Reclaim and Reform, he’s going to found his own party or team up with former husband of Billie Piper, Lawrence Fox to re-enter Parliament in Mid Bedfordshire and terrify the Conservative Party from the right flank. Endless appearances on Question Time. Appearing in support at any other by-elections in 2023 and 2024.
Theory Five; A Quiet Retirement, he knows the gig is up and he’s leaving now, with what little remains of his dignity and self-respect. The Prime Ministerial pension is probably enough to keep body and soul together, watch a bit of cricket, make a few wise and well-observed comments from the political sidelines, make things up to his wife for his infamous infidelity and hope Norma forgives him – or whatever it is that Boris Johnson does instead of being John Major.
The list above is presented in descending order of probability.
