Date: 2019-09-30 02:57 pm (UTC)
danieldwilliam: (Default)
I honestly think that depends on whether we end up staying in the EU or not.

If we end up staying then there are none of the ill-effects of leaving. Thousand of people won't die. We won't see massive disruption to our supply chains, or food riots, or any of that stuff and the economy will grow rather fast for about two years as all the uncertainty and downside risk evaporates. This will become a nasty but short period of a near miss. Sure, some Brexiteers will blame Remainers for the missed opportunity of leaving but comparatively few people will have suffered irreperable loss.

If we do leave, we have years of Brexit not working out as Brexiteers hoped and therefore years of things like t-shirts with slogan "Don't blame me, I voted Remain" and years of Brexiteers trying to pretend that they still believe it will be awesome if only Remainers prayed hard enough. That's the best case. If No Deal happens and is as bad as I fear we have two generations of Remainers complaining that Brexit killed granny and Brexiteers complaining that Granny was a Traitor who refused to believe that being malnourished and inadequately medicated could be sorted out by believing in Britain enough.

Also, 20 years of uncertainty about Northern Ireland and Scotland.
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danieldwilliam

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