On Brexit Circa 30th January

[danieldwilliam]

I think the next steps for Brexit are

May goes off to Brussels with her mandate in her hand. (Must change my Facebook profile picture back to Neville Chamberlain.)

Brussels don't negotiate. Version A) they meet for a few weeks, change a few comma, and increase the divorce bill by a few billion. Everyone agrees they should do it again in March. Option B. Brussels refuses to re-open negotiaions, May is just told, "no, take it or leave it." The EU decides that it will put Irish solidarity and future cohesion ahead of Tory Party unity.  May is publically humiliated in a way that sends a clear message to the Five Star movement.

May comes back to Parliament with a deal that is essentially unchanged.

It fails to pass again.

There is a Vote of No Confidence Again.

Then I don't know.

Perhaps the Government falls. Perhaps not. Perhaps Keir Starmer forms a government of national unity. Perhaps we end up with martial law. Perhaps there is a People's Vote. I've no idea.

And nor do you.

And nor do they.

Comments

[andrewducker]

Yeah. I'm spending this weekend clearing out the freezer and getting in some essentials for stockpiling purposes.

[notasupervillain]

When I got my last meds filled, I asked if there was any plan to Brexit. The pharmacist said (yelled, almost), "No! There's no plan! This is Britain! We don't plan anything here!"

I think he agrees with your assessment. I don't think he likes it.

[mountainkiss]

As of Tuesday night, I decided that I am going to assume there will not be a deal and plan accordingly. Apart from anything else, that lets me off for trying to follow the shenanigans and work out what is going to happen.