danieldwilliam (![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png)
danieldwilliam) wrote2018-07-20 09:21 am
danieldwilliam) wrote2018-07-20 09:21 am
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On Brexit in July
I think the Brexit process is continuing much as I expected it to.
The Prime Minister is trying to thread a line between the various factions of her party. It's difficult to tell if she is most concerned about the unity and sanctity of the Tory Party or about achieving some specific Brexit outcome. I sometimes think she might be deliberately edging towards a situation where not leaving the EU is the only alternative to crashing out and will therefore present us staying in as the only option. But then, trying to fudge the internal negotiations to keep the Tory Party together would look identical to that from the outside and perhaps also from the inside of May's head.
The Labour Party are still mostly ineffective caught as they are on a triple bind of Corbyn, Kate Hoey and the Will of the People.
The polls continue to drift very slowly in the direction of Remain. The Poles continue to drift in the direction of Poland.
The economy potters along, still under performing long-term trends let alone a post Depression recovery. Some indicators are up, some down, some behave strangely. Some are charmed.
It is unclear where we are going but it becomes clearer everyday that we are nearly there. At some point soon the EU is going tell us to stop messing about. I think that point is October.
And thoughts turn to panic buying and shortages in the supermarkets. Which probably won't happen *after* Brexit but before Brexit as people like me stockpile food and other necessaries. I recall David Cameron (Britain's, indeed England's, worst every Prime Minister) causing panic buying during a fuel shortage by suggesting that people should panic buy petrol. Twat! That might be the moment when public opinion shifts. I wonder if it will be in time. I am drawing up my list of storable food and necessary household supplies.
The Prime Minister is trying to thread a line between the various factions of her party. It's difficult to tell if she is most concerned about the unity and sanctity of the Tory Party or about achieving some specific Brexit outcome. I sometimes think she might be deliberately edging towards a situation where not leaving the EU is the only alternative to crashing out and will therefore present us staying in as the only option. But then, trying to fudge the internal negotiations to keep the Tory Party together would look identical to that from the outside and perhaps also from the inside of May's head.
The Labour Party are still mostly ineffective caught as they are on a triple bind of Corbyn, Kate Hoey and the Will of the People.
The polls continue to drift very slowly in the direction of Remain. The Poles continue to drift in the direction of Poland.
The economy potters along, still under performing long-term trends let alone a post Depression recovery. Some indicators are up, some down, some behave strangely. Some are charmed.
It is unclear where we are going but it becomes clearer everyday that we are nearly there. At some point soon the EU is going tell us to stop messing about. I think that point is October.
And thoughts turn to panic buying and shortages in the supermarkets. Which probably won't happen *after* Brexit but before Brexit as people like me stockpile food and other necessaries. I recall David Cameron (Britain's, indeed England's, worst every Prime Minister) causing panic buying during a fuel shortage by suggesting that people should panic buy petrol. Twat! That might be the moment when public opinion shifts. I wonder if it will be in time. I am drawing up my list of storable food and necessary household supplies.
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I agree with the indistinguishability of sincere from self-sabotaging behaviour.
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You are probably right about her view on the mandate. She doesn't strike me as person with a great deal of creativity but she does strike me as someone who is dilligent and determined and serious. Not the sort to be slippery.
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What did your BNC-educated wife make of this thesis?
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I suspect she would have some sympathy for the argument.
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Did you drink port and smoke cigars?
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In fact we had whisky and no cigars.
I am not a fan of cigars except under certain very limited circumstances.