danieldwilliam: (machievelli)
danieldwilliam ([personal profile] danieldwilliam) wrote2014-10-08 04:53 pm
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On Strictly Come Dancing 2014 - Week 2 - The First Elimination

So the first elimination has come and not even a fetish fueled Charlston could save Pudding Loving Geoff. He goes at the first time of asking. I had him going out in week 8. I think that fundamentally my bottom half is sound except for Can’t See The Wood.

Can’t See The Wood turns out not to be as wooden as I thought he would be. Following last weeks decent Tango he impressed with a Salsa garnering three nines in week two. Despite the cognitive disonance of having picked him for an early exit even I was impressed by his salsa. His combined score sees him top ranked over the two weeks.

Pixie and Frankie look pretty nailed on for a semi-final place with good dances in both weeks. On combined scores they are ranked second and third.

In terms of the public vote Not Jennifer Grey would have hoped to avoid the Dance Off. Her score of 37 had her ahead of four other contestents. Perhaps her legions of fans thought she was safe. Perhaps her legion of fans have read the same reviews of Mrs Brown’s Boys that I have.

I’m going to have a look at the average scores by week. I have a feeling they are higher than at this stage in previous years.

7 is the most popular score over the two weeks with 36 appearances or 30%. Last year over the first two weeks 28 7’s had been awarded, 23% of the total scores. 7 was still joint favourite mark. Last year the scores 5,6 and 7 accounted for 67% of scores awarded. This year 79% of scores are in the range 5-7. This is something I’m going to delve into more over the coming weeks. I’ll also be looking at any gender bias in the scoring.

[identity profile] widgetfox.livejournal.com 2014-10-14 02:44 pm (UTC)(link)
Occasionally dead certs get exhausted by the semis and are out earlier than expected. Scott Maslen is a classic example. He was a really excellent dancer and looked like a dead cert week after week, but he was filming EastEnders at the same time and he's not young (older than me!) and he just lost it. I'm backing Steve (naturalist) and Thom (athlete) over Jake (actor) for stamina, and I'm probably backing Thom over either of them because I think he's younger. But he might have a portrait in the attic. (That said, Darcey likes muscles more than beauty. Bruno is pretty much good with either, I think.)

Caroline has a lot of Twitter followers and might be a dead cert. I don't think she is in Pixie and Frankie's league, but those two are obvious ringers and might be skewing my judgment. We're still only in week three.

[identity profile] danieldwilliam.livejournal.com 2014-10-14 02:58 pm (UTC)(link)
I hear you on the stamina thing. Steve is the type of naturalist that gets a lot of exercise. His show Deadly 60 is a family favourite.

I think Jake is also filming a lot with Eastenders.

It's not just the exhaustion. There is the risk of fatigue related injury.

Thom is 29.

[identity profile] widgetfox.livejournal.com 2014-10-14 03:02 pm (UTC)(link)
Yes, and I suspect it isn't just stamina but the difference between what your body is used to doing and what it's now being asked to do.