http://danieldwilliam.livejournal.com/ ([identity profile] danieldwilliam.livejournal.com) wrote in [personal profile] danieldwilliam 2012-10-22 09:54 am (UTC)

I have read something similar. It makes sense to me.

General incumbancy effect.

Clearly the areas where they have won are areas where they are good at winning (effective local campaign structures for instance) or areas where the core Lib Dem vote lives.

Makes me think that the 2015 election is even more likely to turn out to be a hung parliament leading to a coalition.

Although, that rather depends what the Labour party want to do in government between 2015 and 2020. If I were them I’d maybe take a leaf out of the SNP’s book and be a frustrated minority government for a term.

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